How reliable are stats

After having a cancerous kidney removed in 2015, the cancer was found to be attacking various other parts of my body.   Chemotherapy was commenced in March 2020 and the prognosis was 3 to 4 years.  Treatment ceased in March 2023 , prognosis 6 t0 9 months.   I was told that the cancer had spread to my liver andmy pancreas. I write this in March 2026 and, though grateful for my survival,  wonder how many others have not yet become a statistic.  This begs the question,  how reliable are the statistics?   Is reliable information being fed to the experimental scientists?

  • Hi Reg2,

    Weirdly, this is my favourite topic - apart from sailing and scuba diving!
    There are two reasons for this - professional and personal. 
    Before my early retirement I worked for the NHS in an IT/Information capacity.
    In 2013 I was diagnosed with stage 4 oesophageal cancer and given between 2 and 6 months without chemo and up to 18 months with, along with a less than 5% chance of survival after 5 years.
    13 years later, I am a statistical outlier and excluded from national stats.

    Survival stats are:
    1. based on average patients, but none of us are average
    2. ignore factors such as age, fitness and co-morbidities
    3. great applied to large numbers of patients but useless for individuals

    I hope this helps!
    Dave